Posted: Tue Mar 18, 2008 11:15 am
Something like http://www.irwilliams.com/ecbbl/gfi.php or http://www.irwilliams.com/ecbbl/blocking.php you mean?
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Blocking a stronger opponent giving you two dice but your opponent chooses is commonly called half dice.Pug wrote:I've heard the term of Half-Dice along time ago. Wracking my brains as best I can, I still can't remember what it entails.
Doesn't work on my Mac (but it could be Uni IT secirity stuff).plasmoid wrote: 2) ProBBability Calculator
This wonderful program was written by David Bergqvist and modified by Pink Horror. I don't think David is hosting it anymore, but fortunately I still own a copy:
http://home.worldonline.dk/nyskes/bbowl/probcalc.zip
Works from the Command line, so I'm guessing it's Windows only.PubBowler wrote:Doesn't work on my Mac (but it could be Uni IT secirity stuff).
For 15 and 18 it's when the opponent chooses which dice (ie you're blocking a stronger player).s031720 wrote:I dont find those figures to be right, am i doing something wrong?
We want to know how big risk there is of a turnover. A dice have:
1 skull, 1 both d, 1 "dodge", 1 clear hit, 2 push.
1 die against block, i dont have block: 2 out of 6, or 1/3 or 33.3%
Stated in the original post:
9) 1 die block (I don't have Block) = 33.33%
Ok, so that seem to be ok. But then:
2 dice against block, i dont have block: 1/3 times 1/3, 1/9 or 11.11 %
Stated in the original post:
15) 2 dice against Block (I don't have Block) = 55.56%
According to this, the more dice I roll, the bigger chance of a turnover. Wich intuitively strikes you as not right, dont it?
3 dice against block, i dont have block: 1/3 times 1/3 times 1/3, 1/27 or 3.73%
Stated in the original post:
18 ) 3 dice against Block (I don't have Block) = 70.37%
Am I doing something wrong? The probablity of a TO should decline the more dice you have to roll, since all you need is a result on either one of the dice that does not give a TO.
Nope, cant find it. Link?ianwilliams wrote:Look in the library on the NAF
I call this false. It's a stupid statement for people who refuse to understand probabilities. I heard a GW staff member say this about WH. I said you are not going to throw 2dice to get 10 are you, it's unlikely and out of desparation - the reply was "no I'd use 3 dice"... then you have altered the probabilities.1) BB probability axiom
All plays have 50% chance of succes!
Either your play succeeds (50%) or it fails (50%).