Knockdown Probabilities

[DoubleSkulls]

I'm bored at work so here are some stats. The probability is the chance of knocking your opponent down without getting knocked down yourself.

Code: Select all

    
1/2 Dice block
                          defender            
attacker    nothing block   dodge   block/dodge
nothing     0.11    0.11    0.03    0.03
block       0.25    0.11    0.11    0.03
pro         0.16    0.16    0.04    0.04
block/pro   0.34    0.16    0.16    0.04
                
                
1 dice                  defender            
attacker    nothing block   dodge   block/dodge
nothing     0.33    0.33    0.17    0.17
block       0.50    0.33    0.33    0.17
pro         0.44    0.44    0.24    0.24
block/pro   0.63    0.44    0.44    0.24
                
2 dice                  defender            
attacker    nothing block   dodge   block/dodge
nothing     0.56    0.56    0.31    0.31
block       0.75    0.56    0.56    0.31
pro         0.68    0.68    0.41    0.41
block/pro   0.84    0.68    0.68    0.41

3 dice                  defender            
attacker    nothing block   dodge   block/dodge
nothing     0.70    0.70    0.42    0.42
block       0.88    0.70    0.70    0.42
pro         0.81    0.81    0.54    0.54
block/pro   0.93    0.81    0.81    0.54

Tackle is not shown since its identical to looking at the defender column without dodge.

[Relborn]

you meant knocking down an opponent while the own player keeps standing ... right Ian ? Otherwise the stats would be wrong ...

[DoubleSkulls]

Yes

Here are the stats for knocking yourself over - whether your opponent is left standing or not

Code: Select all

dice        1/2     1       2       3
nothing     0.556   0.333   0.111   0.037
block       0.306   0.167   0.028   0.005
pro         0.432   0.222   0.062   0.019
block/pro   0.199   0.097   0.014   0.002

[roysorlie]

This doesn't specifically take tackløe in to account, but the result would be excatly the same, as if the opponent only had block, soo..

You should find å more interessting line of work.